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House Price Forecasts and Predictions in the UK at December 2008



UK House Prices Situation: House prices falling steadily across the UK

UK House Prices Forecast: Falls likely to continue well into 2009

Price Falls Continue in November

The latest housing figures from the Halifax show that house prices are continuing to fall steadily across the UK.

The Halifax reported a drop in the average price of 2.6% in November, taking the annual fall to 13.9%. This figure was somewhat at odds with Nationwide's figure of 0.4% for almost the same period, however. The reason for this might be the different customer bases of the two lenders - each compiles its house price figures from the mortgage loans it issues.

On a most positive note, interest rate cuts mean that mortgages are getting cheaper and affordability is improving. According to the Halifax, affordability is at its best for five years, with the house price to earnings ratio having fallen to 4.56 - down from a high of 5.84 in July 2007.

Long-time homeowners need not worry too much either - house prices are still 124% higher than they were in 1998 - meaning that your house has grown in value much more than any cash savings you might have.

Have Sellers Accepted Reality Yet?

Property website Rightmove's latest house price index suggests that sellers are still having problems accepting the reality of falling house prices.

Its figures show a 2.9% fall in asking prices in November, bringing the annual rate down to -7.1%. Although a noticeable drop, Rightmove says that estate agents are reporting actual sale figures that are typically around 20% below peak boom prices (summer 2007). This suggests that sellers are still setting their asking prices too high when placing their homes on the market, slowing down any potential sales.

Miles Shipside, Rightmove's commercial director, says, "Some sellers could avoid months of disillusionment and despair" if they put their homes on the market at more realistic selling prices.





 

 

 

 

 


 

Read about UK House Price indexes / key statistics that track the ups and downs of house prices






 




 


 

 

Read our take on the Credit Crisis the effect on UK House Prices and Mortgages. A Special Report




 






 




 


 





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Please note, this information is NOT necessarily RELEVANT in Scotland

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

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